Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.590479 9.860498 11.272092 12.960594 14.929649 17.158371 19.879276
2025-01-19 6.784493 8.383839 10.310002 12.812276 15.994015 19.927002 25.191428
2025-01-26 5.962837 7.771629 10.080780 13.268458 17.591542 23.302614 31.505157
2025-02-02 5.328910 7.250365 9.822014 13.553065 18.889925 26.342537 37.702787
2025-02-09 4.923977 6.954877 9.787646 14.081780 20.521958 29.974088 45.180390
2025-02-16 4.342347 6.327982 9.195152 13.705289 20.747232 31.532437 49.710731
2025-02-23 3.923213 5.882504 8.802696 13.555537 21.258541 33.534743 55.152997
2025-03-02 3.575191 5.502115 8.458655 13.424254 21.755309 35.534128 60.818743
2025-03-09 3.260176 5.138079 8.097028 13.212543 22.074364 37.246003 66.182748
2025-03-16 2.966993 4.778889 7.704300 12.898524 22.167585 38.555133 70.963484
2025-03-23 2.872720 4.734871 7.820242 13.456521 23.839302 42.843261 81.931487
2025-03-30 2.721471 4.579522 7.730803 13.637804 24.838952 46.001886 91.135729
2025-04-06 2.536746 4.353436 7.503712 13.556009 25.355946 48.342993 99.120052
2025-04-13 2.357650 4.121685 7.245394 13.388314 25.685831 50.353747 106.717378
2025-04-20 2.287401 4.078955 7.323526 13.866651 27.345792 55.258989 121.442896
2025-04-27 2.198241 3.992966 7.312151 14.165327 28.668678 59.621175 135.642738
2025-05-04 2.147221 3.973638 7.423879 14.720270 30.592060 65.527742 154.509323
2025-05-11 1.989355 3.736149 7.091945 14.325092 30.408703 66.699063 161.883113
2025-05-18 1.871703 3.568038 6.882969 14.167921 30.734233 69.076086 172.729053
2025-05-25 1.765904 3.415255 6.692055 14.030140 31.086285 71.556446 184.268355
2025-06-01 1.660299 3.254893 6.472628 13.807963 31.215318 73.509698 194.707612
2025-06-08 1.552978 3.083210 6.216233 13.478451 31.051233 74.711522 203.243811
2025-06-15 1.535863 3.097863 6.354726 14.064003 33.183194 82.049982 230.943277